Following last week’s Future Networked Car Symposium at ITU headquarters, ITU News asked Roger Lanctot, Director of Automotive Connected Mobility for Strategy Analytics, what he views as the top 5 trends we can expect to see for automotive tech in 2020 and beyond.
Here they are:
As cars are increasingly integrated into fleets, pressure will grow to deliver ever more sophisticated connected-car solutions capable of collecting data, anticipating system failures, avoiding collisions, and delivering desirable and contextually relevant content to drivers and passengers.
“Within two years, 5G technology will fundamentally transform the business of connecting cars …”
While car makers and commercial fleet operators – including ride hailing companies, car sharing service providers, taxis, and rental car operators – dominate the world of connected fleets today, the future may bring new operators into the market – from technology companies to retailers, transportation companies or even new car dealers offering networks of connected cars to serve evolving transportation needs.
Within two years, 5G technology will fundamentally transform the business of connecting cars allowing cars to communicate vital information for safer on-road interactions and traffic management.
Significant breakthroughs in crash avoidance – between cars and between pedestrians and cars – will unfold as the global car park is “lit up” with higher speed, low latency, wireless connections.
“The proliferation of networked vehicles offering mobility-as-a-service will push more and more consumers out of their owned vehicles and into the world of shared transportation.”
Regulators will finally have the tools to take on active safety challenges and save lives.
At the same time, contextual navigation experiences will be amazingly enhanced to ease the normal stresses of human driving even as the industry evolves toward autonomy.
The proliferation of networked vehicles offering mobility-as-a-service will push more and more consumers out of their owned vehicles and into the world of shared transportation.
End-to-end, app-based transportation solutions will integrate payments and personalized experiences.
It remains to be seen precisely which kinds of organizations will lead or eventually dominate this new transportation environment – but car companies, infrastructure companies, transportation suppliers, and others will all play a role.
Regulators and legislators may ultimately play a determinative role – as they are already today in driving the industry toward electrification – by limiting the use of individually owned vehicles in large cities.
As fleets of connected cars come to dominate the transportation landscape, fleet operators will continue their embrace of electrification as they recognize the lower cost of operations for electric vehicles.
Where consumers may hesitate to buy and own electric cars – fleet operators will not hesitate.
Their success will pave the way for more efficient and widely deployed charging networks leading to swifter consumer adoption than has so-far been seen.
While fully autonomous and networked vehicle fleets may ultimately serve large cities and towns, the evolutionary path to full autonomy may take a decade or more.
Regulators continue to struggle to define certification strategies, but these same regulators prefer not to stand in the path of this advancing technology.
Robotaxis, shuttles, trucks and busses and semi-autonomous personally operated cars will all represent different facets of the evolving world of autonomy as heterogeneous highway driving environments emerge to support both human and machine-driven vehicles.